arsenette
Administrator
Rambling Rican
Posts: 16,617
Staff Member
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Post by arsenette on Sept 10, 2009 13:31:56 GMT -5
Given the 12 year history of Sasuke. TBS does what they please. They've cut STQ'ers, fast forwarded some. Depends on what happens overall if there is a lot of filler time because most of everyone got pwned.. or they need to cut time quickly to get to the other stages. I think many fail to realize that TBS caters to the Japanese audience. If they feel that they will alienate the Japanese audience by filling in too much time with the Americans they will cut them.
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Post by obakemono on Sept 10, 2009 14:45:53 GMT -5
... TBS caters to the Japanese audience. No, you don't say... They're not going to show 10 full runs. Several will be digested, but none will be cut entirely. It'll be an 'STQers in 21/22' kind of deal. I'd be willing to bet a lot of money on that. Besides, the Japanese audience likes a bit of old fashioned jingoism, or TBS do at least. They'll be quick to play up the competition. EDIT: For the record, the way I see it is this. They cut people who don't fit as part of a storyline. Like Shinji Kobayashi. Sure, we want to see how he does, but his recent performances obviously haven't had any particular broadcasting relevance. The All Stars will always get shown because of their title. The STQers in 21 were all shown/digested because they were making a big thing out of the trials that year, which they've somewhat continued to do. In 22 they added to this by comparing their success to the All Stars. Expect some kind of further development of this for 23, especially with Yuuji and Kanno's success. 10 Americans holds great potential for another big storyline, although we're not sure how TBS will spin it, but I can almost guarantee they will make something of it.
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2D2Will
Kishimoto Shinya
Posts: 1,476
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Post by 2D2Will on Sept 10, 2009 15:04:57 GMT -5
The only way I see all 10 getting full runs is if all 10 of them beat the first stage.
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Post by BLM on Sept 10, 2009 15:34:03 GMT -5
The only way I see all 10 getting full runs is if all 10 of them beat the first stage. I doubt that more than 2 will past stage 1
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Post by rcplanes59 on Sept 10, 2009 18:26:29 GMT -5
So they ARE making all 10 run?
Oh God...
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Post by davidcampbell on Sept 10, 2009 19:01:16 GMT -5
I think we're going to see a lot of the americans fall on the jumping spider and at least one fall on the log grip. I predict 3 or 4 get past stage 1
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Lennon
Levi Meeuwenberg
Posts: 793
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Post by Lennon on Sept 10, 2009 19:39:27 GMT -5
I guess you would know David, since you've seen most of their abilities up close.
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Post by pker50111 on Sept 10, 2009 21:14:59 GMT -5
Does the Log Grip REALLY shake that much that it would throw off one of the americans?
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Post by davidcampbell on Sept 11, 2009 3:14:37 GMT -5
It's easy to underestimate that thing. You watch people do it and it looks easy but you try it and it's a shocker. If you're not expecting it it would be easy to fall! Take Mark for example, I know he bruised his ulner nerve and all but I'm sure he was strong enough to hold on regardless. Of course this is just my opinion but I think what happened was just that he was in a hurry and wasn't expecting it to his as hard as it did. (I hope he gets another chance someday). Also talking with many of the other finalists it was clear that many of them didn't watch the show much as they weren't familiar with any of the post Sasuke 17 obstacles. I almost wish they had included some rudimentary sasuke trivia as part of the eliminations!
But the point being even someone in good shape would easily fail that obstacle if they weren't ready for it.
There are some very prepared people going too though so don't worry. I will not be surprised if we see an American finally get passed the Cliffhanger and even to the final stage!
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baronbk
Paul Anthony Terek
Posts: 496
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Post by baronbk on Sept 11, 2009 3:15:08 GMT -5
I was going to say that I expect at least one to fail on the log grip as well, but I didn't want to get bad karma from it =p. I think David's right on with the Jumping Spider doing the most damage, maybe see a fall or two on the slider jump too. I'd say 5 or 6 will get to stage 2, 3 to stage 3, and 2 to the final stage. There's a very good chance we'll see an American obtain total victory as well.
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baronbk
Paul Anthony Terek
Posts: 496
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Post by baronbk on Sept 11, 2009 3:18:39 GMT -5
I almost wish they had included some rudimentary sasuke trivia as part of the eliminations! I couldn't agree more! I felt they might have included this in the finals or something. Although it would probably be better to include it before then to weed out people looking for exposure and such, people who don't really understand what they're getting into.
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Post by davidcampbell on Sept 11, 2009 3:34:34 GMT -5
The Jumping Spider again didn't have any gap. As in Santa Monica the tramp was setup in between the walls so most of them won't be prepared for it. Well unless they have everyone train with Nagasaki again or something!
Slider jump of course will take out many as well.
You're a little more optimistic about the numbers than I am though.
Oh yeah and the time limit too, that's going to be an issue for stage 1 for sure.
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arsenette
Administrator
Rambling Rican
Posts: 16,617
Staff Member
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Post by arsenette on Sept 11, 2009 4:51:24 GMT -5
Well Nagasaki is off in the World Cup this weekend in Germany so that's a no go there I don't see a Sasuke 21'esk Jumping Spider in the parking lot either.. so it's going to be interesting. Personally I only see maybe 2 passing stage 1. The uninitiated I'm having a hard time believing they will be passing far into the course. Then again I've been shocked out of my mind before
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baronbk
Paul Anthony Terek
Posts: 496
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Post by baronbk on Sept 11, 2009 13:25:27 GMT -5
Yeah, I am a little optimistic haha. I'm just hoping for a few of the guys to make it far. =)
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madmanike
Ishikawa Terukazu
TUNA!!!
Posts: 455
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Post by madmanike on Sept 11, 2009 15:59:27 GMT -5
The obvious answer is 42. But since this is Sasuke, I'll split the difference and go with 3 Americans making it past stage 1.
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Post by Badalight on Sept 11, 2009 16:00:51 GMT -5
I say 3 americans. We've had 2 before and that was with far less competitors, so I don't think saying 3 will pass is stretching it, especially when we had trials this time.
And there is a large chance that most of the top 10 are free runners, who generally would have an advantage on stage 1.
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Post by quasikoz on Sept 11, 2009 16:26:37 GMT -5
I would love to see 6 or more from team america clear the first stage. The talent should be there to make it happen. No one should be failing a Jumping Spider.
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Post by davidcampbell on Sept 11, 2009 16:50:32 GMT -5
I say 3 americans. We've had 2 before and that was with far less competitors, so I don't think saying 3 will pass is stretching it, especially when we had trials this time. And there is a large chance that most of the top 10 are free runners, who generally would have an advantage on stage 1. Yeah pretty much what he said.
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Post by obakemono on Sept 11, 2009 18:16:31 GMT -5
I'd say probably a maximum of 4/10 pass stage one. Obviously the returning people will have a great chance, and probably everyone will have the skills required and then some, but everything needs to go just right. If I had to guess a number I'd say 2 or 3, leaning towards 3, given the same course as in 22. Beyond stage one, who knows.
Oh, and David said there was a trampoline in the parkling lot for 22, right? Hopefully that's a permanent fixture.
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Post by mjm6819 on Sept 11, 2009 20:38:36 GMT -5
I'll guess around 3, maybe even 4 will pass the first stage. Levi and David are quite likely to beat it, unless if something completely new is added. Even then, I think it will still be likely they'd beat it. I'm not sure about the other 6-7 American competitors.
Best wishes to David Campbell on Sasuke 23. You did fairly decent last time.
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