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Post by zoran on Feb 19, 2023 15:41:33 GMT -5
Stage 1
1. Hill climb (Sasuke 12 opener) 2. Log Grip (29-30 Variant) 3. Balance Bridge (1-7) 4. Circle Hammer 5. Rapid Descent 6. Sosoritatsu Kabe
Time Limit: 135 seconds
Stage 2
1. Narrow 2. Net Bridge 3. Reverse Conveyor (Sasuke 8 variant) 4. Passing Wall
Time Limit: 135 seconds
Stage 3 1. Pole Bridge (Sasuke 2 variant) 2. Hang Move 3. Pipe Slider (Sasuke 2 variant)
Stage 4
Tsuna Nobori (10m, competitors allowed to start standing up)
Time Limit: 135 seconds
Assume competitors are competing 100% seriously and competitively. Who would clear? How many clears on each stage would there be? What would be the fastest times? What would be the biggest Ninja Killers?
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Post by edaan on Feb 19, 2023 17:07:00 GMT -5
I think that on this course, Stage 1 would easily be the killer. The obstacles (barring the sosoritatsu kabe) could all be failed by celebrities, but I think that anyone with the potential of making it to the Dragon Glider (except maybe HIKAKIN) could clear, so I'd say about 60/100 would pass this.
Stage 2 is by far the easiest. I can't see even a celebrity failing this, unless they literally can't lift a 50kg wall, which I think about 5 of them couldn't. They could do what Yusuke did in 29, but that would only be if they got past the 30 and the 40, which I don't think would happen. Overall, I would say about 57 competitors would pass this stage.
Stage 3 is a lot like Sasuke 2, so I'm going to think about it like that. This course (like Sasuke 2) doesn't feature a lot of upper body bar the pipe slider, so I think that some of the people who make it will be unprepared for something like this. However, I think that all the main contenders, bar the ones who screwed up in Stage 1 are going to make it here, and will easily clear. I think the clear rate will be 42/100.
The final stage should be basically in the bag, the only downfall I can see is if you actually let go of the rope, which even in Sasuke 1/2 didn't happen, and the pipe slider should filter out these competitors. So, in theory, it should be 42/42 clears, or 42/100 overall.
The fastest times I feel would be the people like Jun and Kajihara who are still going for the fastest times, while the slower/ more conservative people are going to take their time basically without the fear of timing out.
In short, this course is probably just a bit easier than Sasuke 2 (maybe harder than 1 because of the pipe slider) and basically all of the main contenders will beat this course. However, anything can happen, especially with the Balance Bridge (eliminated Shingo in 4, inbetween a final stage attempt and a pipe slider fail) and the Rapid Descent (a Ninja Killer back in the day, but we'd maybe be more prepared with the Rolling Hill). Yamada would finally get the total victory he dreamed of (despite still being beaten on the rope by all of his Black Tigers).
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Post by zoran on Feb 19, 2023 17:49:31 GMT -5
I think that on this course, Stage 1 would easily be the killer. The obstacles (barring the sosoritatsu kabe) could all be failed by celebrities, but I think that anyone with the potential of making it to the Dragon Glider (except maybe HIKAKIN) could clear, so I'd say about 60/100 would pass this. Stage 2 is by far the easiest. I can't see even a celebrity failing this, unless they literally can't lift a 50kg wall, which I think about 5 of them couldn't. They could do what Yusuke did in 29, but that would only be if they got past the 30 and the 40, which I don't think would happen. Overall, I would say about 57 competitors would pass this stage. Stage 3 is a lot like Sasuke 2, so I'm going to think about it like that. This course (like Sasuke 2) doesn't feature a lot of upper body bar the pipe slider, so I think that some of the people who make it will be unprepared for something like this. However, I think that all the main contenders, bar the ones who screwed up in Stage 1 are going to make it here, and will easily clear. I think the clear rate will be 42/100. The final stage should be basically in the bag, the only downfall I can see is if you actually let go of the rope, which even in Sasuke 1/2 didn't happen, and the pipe slider should filter out these competitors. So, in theory, it should be 42/42 clears, or 42/100 overall. The fastest times I feel would be the people like Jun and Kajihara who are still going for the fastest times, while the slower/ more conservative people are going to take their time basically without the fear of timing out. In short, this course is probably just a bit easier than Sasuke 2 (maybe harder than 1 because of the pipe slider) and basically all of the main contenders will beat this course. However, anything can happen, especially with the Balance Bridge (eliminated Shingo in 4, inbetween a final stage attempt and a pipe slider fail) and the Rapid Descent (a Ninja Killer back in the day, but we'd maybe be more prepared with the Rolling Hill). Yamada would finally get the total victory he dreamed of (despite still being beaten on the rope by all of his Black Tigers). Imagine if Yamada failed stage 1 on this course, with the rage he'd have, he would probably need to be sedated.
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Post by zoran on Feb 19, 2023 17:56:00 GMT -5
I think that on this course, Stage 1 would easily be the killer. The obstacles (barring the sosoritatsu kabe) could all be failed by celebrities, but I think that anyone with the potential of making it to the Dragon Glider (except maybe HIKAKIN) could clear, so I'd say about 60/100 would pass this. Stage 2 is by far the easiest. I can't see even a celebrity failing this, unless they literally can't lift a 50kg wall, which I think about 5 of them couldn't. They could do what Yusuke did in 29, but that would only be if they got past the 30 and the 40, which I don't think would happen. Overall, I would say about 57 competitors would pass this stage. Stage 3 is a lot like Sasuke 2, so I'm going to think about it like that. This course (like Sasuke 2) doesn't feature a lot of upper body bar the pipe slider, so I think that some of the people who make it will be unprepared for something like this. However, I think that all the main contenders, bar the ones who screwed up in Stage 1 are going to make it here, and will easily clear. I think the clear rate will be 42/100. The final stage should be basically in the bag, the only downfall I can see is if you actually let go of the rope, which even in Sasuke 1/2 didn't happen, and the pipe slider should filter out these competitors. So, in theory, it should be 42/42 clears, or 42/100 overall. The fastest times I feel would be the people like Jun and Kajihara who are still going for the fastest times, while the slower/ more conservative people are going to take their time basically without the fear of timing out. In short, this course is probably just a bit easier than Sasuke 2 (maybe harder than 1 because of the pipe slider) and basically all of the main contenders will beat this course. However, anything can happen, especially with the Balance Bridge (eliminated Shingo in 4, inbetween a final stage attempt and a pipe slider fail) and the Rapid Descent (a Ninja Killer back in the day, but we'd maybe be more prepared with the Rolling Hill). Yamada would finally get the total victory he dreamed of (despite still being beaten on the rope by all of his Black Tigers). I think the Hariyama is probably a lot harder than its results would suggest, it was only attempted by 4 competitors who were all pretty skilled, the main reason Sasuke 2's pipe slider had such ruthless results was due to them not knowing the proper technique and rain, i'd say it would be easier to master than the Hariyama.
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Post by salt on Feb 20, 2023 4:02:37 GMT -5
I'm thinking that the Pole Bridge might be a bit of a killer, especially since the course hasn't been very balance-oriented lately. It's also a unique obstacle in that it's one of the only slow balance obstacles we've seen, so people who usually just rush the balance obstacle in stage 1 can't really do that. I can see a lot of people being caught off guard by the wobbly pillars, and I doubt people like Yamada would have the technique to get past it.
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Post by Thislebard on Feb 20, 2023 4:40:18 GMT -5
I would say Nagano would have a chance of kanzenseiha despite his age if he went juggernaut and was at 100%, but I think that's pushing it a little bit, maybe if he were the same age as in 27 then yes. Yuuji would achieve total victory I think, and Yusuke would definitely achieve total victory as well, unless if any of them made a mistake and accidentally failed an obstacle. As far as Ryo goes, I think it would have to depend on how much he's been focusing and training, since he's failed a lot of stage one obstacles in recent years. Yamamoto Yoshiyuki would definitely achieve total victory, I've seen some of his stage runs, and he made the vertical limit look like a walk in the park in my opinion.
Kanno would probably get injured somewhere, but still have a chance of winning. I have a lot of people achieving total victory, but that's just how I see it. Maybe I'm still stuck in the past when they were all in their prime without having had seen all their runs in recent years, but this is how I feel with what I've remembered so far.
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Post by zoran on Feb 20, 2023 8:27:28 GMT -5
I'm thinking that the Pole Bridge might be a bit of a killer, especially since the course hasn't been very balance-oriented lately. It's also a unique obstacle in that it's one of the only slow balance obstacles we've seen, so people who usually just rush the balance obstacle in stage 1 can't really do that. I can see a lot of people being caught off guard by the wobbly pillars, and I doubt people like Yamada would have the technique to get past it. The Sasuke 2 pillers were made out of wood which is sturdier than foam hence why no one failed it.
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