Theories of sasuke 38 announcement

[Rafas]

when do you guys think sasuke 38 will be announced and when it will air

[LusitaniaAngel313]

Jun Sato flat out said to me SASUKE isn't happening until it's truly safe to do so. It isn't right now. I didn't even ask he read me. I am highly anticipating it one day but not today.

[Walking Contradiction]

I doubt Sasuke 38 will be held this year, if they postponed Sasuke until 2021, we would have 3 tournaments in a year.

[ChiBiJKT48]

I think they will try to put New Year's Eve show again, considering that SASUKE never miss to held a tournament a year since 1997. And since the lockdown in Japan is recently lifted, there's high chance of that.

[Rafas]

i sure hope so

[ArbuthnotBlob]

It will definitely depend on the state of the world and the continuing Coronavirus pandemic, no doubt. If we do get one this year I imagine it will be New Years again, but that still means that Inui needs to be doing planning now and auditions in 1/2 months and honestly - I don't see that happening.

The difficulty with SASUKE is that 100 people have to go and touch all the same obstacles, bars, nets, platforms etc etc so even if they do it without a spectator crowd they would still have to spend time sanitising the course between each run in a worse-case scenario and that's just a production nightmare. 

Also, much as I enjoy SASUKE I wouldn't want any of the competitors/staff/spectators to put their health at risk by attending or competing so if it washes out this year that we maybe retain the timeslot with a greatest hits/history clip show like what Sportsman No. 1 just had, I'm fine with that. I'll be more worried if there is absolutely nothing because that could spiral into an excuse for TBS to drop it completely, but hopefully it doesn't come to that.

[ChiBiJKT48]

Nah, I guess they won't do both. First is because SASUKE recently had three Live Final Stage attempts which made people know their existence currently, and with new generation just formed, it will be silly to directly cancel the tournament after they had just one tournament. Second, SASUKE didn't disappear for ten years from TV unlike Pro Sportsman #1.

[ArbuthnotBlob]

Jun 15, 2020 8:30:27 GMT -5 ChiBiJKT48 said:

Nah, I guess they won't do both. First is because SASUKE recently had three Live Final Stage attempts which made people know their existence currently, and with new generation just formed, it will be silly to directly cancel the tournament after they had just one tournament. Second, SASUKE didn't disappear for ten years from TV unlike Pro Sportsman #1.

SASUKE may not have disappeared from TV for 10 years yet, but it could happen very easily. Much as we all may love it the show's been hanging by a thread, really since the revival - the ratings have always been consistently low (around 9%) and since moving to the New Year's slot it's plunged all the way to 4-5%.

I said this somewhere else, but I reckon the New Year's live show was a last-gasp attempt to save the series by giving it a specific reason to exist, and I fear if the slot is lost this year because Inui can't tape due to Coronavirus TBS might just declare the end. Which would be silly, and a terrible shame, but ultimately the general Japanese public just haven't been tuning in and there's nothing we can do about it! Which is why I'm hoping for at least a clip show, because that means there is interest in keeping the brand afloat.

The international shows are in better standing, but unfortunately while the rights money from them goes to TBS, there is no obligation for TBS to spend that money on SASUKE.

Another thought occurred to me just now - even if Japan handles the situation well enough to create an environment where SASUKE can tape safely, I think you can wave bye-bye to international competitors this year, especially anyone from ANW, given the current state of the American virus response (the UK is no better, but I don't believe we have any prospects anyway!)

EDIT: This is, of course, all fairly pessimistic worst-case-scenario stuff! I would love to say that SASUKE is safe and if we don't see a tournament this year we'll see one next year, but the cancellation threat has been a reality for years, so I just hope this isn't the final straw.

[Sasuke Mania]

I was hoping it would be sometime soon (as in NOT New Years Eve) this year and then slowly but surely 2020 started to unfold... I can see it happening on NYE again, but ONLY if enough returns back to normal and it's declared safe enough to do so. Only time will tell...
I DON'T see Sasuke fully ending anytime soon though, or at least not in the next couple of years. Licensing seems to have been doing pretty well over the past few years, and albeit slowly, Sasuke appears to be developing a decently strong fanbase again. Sasuke has always been consistent, always having at least one tournament every year. I may be wrong, and this could just suddenly be the end, but I think I speak for everyone here when I say it'd be pretty weird if it just stopped now...

[m4tt3r0x]

I also can't imagine Sasuke ending any time soon, but I'm calling it now that there won't be a tournament until the earliest well into next year.

[tns8597]

Why would they have to sanitise every obstacle if the competitors can just sanitise/wash their hands after each performance? Seems a bit OTT imo.

I think by November/December most things should be back to normal.

[Paragus]

Jun 17, 2020 15:30:31 GMT -5 tns8597 said:

Why would they have to sanitise every obstacle if the competitors can just sanitise/wash their hands after each performance? Seems a bit OTT imo.

I think by November/December most things should be back to normal.

The virus is airborne, clean hands mean nothing if all the obstacles are covered in germs.

Unless everyone wears gloves, but it would cause a lot of controversy if someone forgets when they’re to take them off again.