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Post by yamfriend on Oct 22, 2010 23:44:15 GMT -5
Simple question: how many competitors do you think will pass Stage 1 in Sasuke 26? Granted it may be a little early to make an accurate guess considering we only have a vague idea as to what obstacles are in it this time around, but I think it's still worth doing now anyway. Have fun guessing! BTW, if any of you ever change your mind, you can always retract your vote and say something else up until Sasuke 26 airs (I'll set the poll to be locked for then once we are 100% sure on the TBS airdate).
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Post by VenusHeadTrap on Oct 23, 2010 0:01:09 GMT -5
I went with about 12
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Post by roy on Oct 23, 2010 0:57:23 GMT -5
I voted 9-10
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Zorn
Satō Jun
giogio
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Post by Zorn on Oct 23, 2010 8:07:24 GMT -5
7-8 is my guess.
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Post by jfeathe on Oct 23, 2010 10:21:38 GMT -5
7-8 just to be cautious. When we know the obstacles, my guess might go up or down.
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Post by YoDaUO on Oct 23, 2010 10:48:34 GMT -5
I voted 9-10. I dont think there will be more than 10 clears. With the JS, HPA, returning, new obstacles, I think its gonna be around 9-10.
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Post by SasukeAnimator on Oct 23, 2010 14:53:04 GMT -5
I voted 5-6. I dunno, I kinda like it when not that many pass. On the other hand, I don't want to see another 19 *shivers*
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Post by quasikoz on Oct 23, 2010 18:25:37 GMT -5
I said 13-15. Just because we've gone back to Shin-Sasuke obstacles doesn't mean there will be an unfamiliarity with the first stage. I expect to see clears from Yuuji, Kanno, Hashimoto, En Chi, Tajima, Sato, Kongu, Okuyama, Takeda, Nagano, Yamamoto, Meewenberg and Campbell. There could also be a few other clears from people we don't know who'll compete and that might offset any of the fails from the competitors mentioned above.
I expect ALOT of first stage clears.
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Post by cole77000 on Oct 23, 2010 18:35:44 GMT -5
I said 9 - 10 to be on the safe side. I agree with quasikoz but we do not know what m9 came up with for new obstacles on the first stage. We could end up having another slider jump situation where it was taking out a lot of people who got deep into the course.
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Post by intelligentinfer on Oct 23, 2010 21:33:28 GMT -5
I'm guessing 7-8 but I hope that stage 2 will crush a lot of people like what it did in 16.
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Post by HarlequinKnight on Oct 23, 2010 21:47:27 GMT -5
I think we'll definitely be seeing less clears than 25, but how many is anyone's guess. I'm saying 7-8 right now, because the JS is always deadly, and the new obstacles could really give some troubles.
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Deleted
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Post by Deleted on Oct 25, 2010 1:32:19 GMT -5
I picked 6 because I just have a feeling that they'll make it harder. I just feel it.
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Post by yamfriend on Oct 25, 2010 18:49:38 GMT -5
I picked 6 because I just have a feeling that they'll make it harder. I just feel it. I doubt they'd want to make it that much hard (at least not yet) since they're really in need of better ratings now more than ever. In fact, IMO if we don't get a good amount of Stage 1 clears like we saw in 21/23/24/25, ratings may tank low enough to get Sasuke off the air. IIRC, didn't the ratings plummet pretty drastically after 19 and 20, when so few people were clearing Stage 1? If so, I highly doubt TBS and M9 are willing to take the risk of making Stage 1 even harder than it was in Shin-Sasuke to the point that most of the broadcast consists of so many similar failures on the same few obstacles (repetition=people get bored faster=worse ratings=possibility of no more Sasuke). In addition to this, more Stage 1 clears would create more suspense, drama, and anticipation in people when they watch the later stages. For example, compare Sasuke 20 and Sasuke 23. Both of them were about 4 hours long IIRC, yet one of them (Sasuke 23) is considered by many as the greatest of the Shin-Sasuke tournaments whereas the other (Sasuke 20) is usually put on the other end of the spectrum. Why? The amount of Stage 1 clears probably had to do a good deal with it. Sasuke 20 got repetitive pretty quickly with only 3 Stage 1 clears and the vast majority of the competitors failing the same 6 or so obstacles, even to some of us big Sasuke fans---imagine what it was like for the casual viewers in Japan. Meanwhile, Sasuke 23 had 16 Stage 1 clears, which led to more excitement in the later stages due to more variety (why it had lower ratings than 22 beats me, but I digress...). Point blank, if M9 is wise they'll try to keep Stage 1 at a difficulty similar to/slightly lower than that of Shin-Sasuke's First Stage (maybe between 24's and 25's is my guess) so they'll still get an adequate amount of clears like they have for the past few tournaments. If it starts to get too high (15-20 or more, who knows), then they should make Stage 1 tougher, but for 26 they shouldn't raise the difficulty much, if at all (it could also be a precaution ratings-wise, i.e. "better safe than sorry"). So I'll say 13-15.
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Deleted
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Post by Deleted on Oct 30, 2010 10:34:58 GMT -5
I duuno I think that they might have a SASUKE 22 repeat seeing on how many cleared.
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Post by gtoneko on Oct 30, 2010 16:17:43 GMT -5
I believe it'll be 7-8 with the way that as much as there will be familiarity with the obstacles, there's always the wild off-chance that there's going to be that one slight error that mess alot of vets up.
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Post by japantv1210 on Oct 30, 2010 17:53:51 GMT -5
I voted 11-12, even though I think 13-15 could clear. Even with changes to the course, I'm not expecting a dramatic amount of failure due to the high experience level of the current competitors, and most of them are relatively familiar with the obstacles I assume. Plus, I'm really hoping for some people to get far into the course that didn't last time, like Nagano.
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Post by richie137 on Dec 24, 2010 0:14:01 GMT -5
I say 13-15, 11 big names, and a couple of unknowns.
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