# of 1st Stage Clears

[Zorn]

In the 2 Sasuke renewal competitions (5 and 18) only a number of competitors in both tourneys (in 1-6 total) were able to clear the first stage. How many would you speculate would clear this time?

[yamfriend]

We all know that Stage 1 is probably going to be EVEN TOUGHER than it was during the Shin-Sasuke era, but I'm not expecting a nearly impossible Stage 1. Because of the fact that there are so many elite competitors, there's bound to be a few who will clear it (or at least hopefully), regardless of the "perfect renewal" upon Stage 1 and the rest of the course. Therefore, I chose 1-3 competitors, and to be specific I'm expecting Sasuke 19 or 20 results.

CALLING IT!!!

[awee1975]

twenty clears

[Badalight]

I say 5

[wolf4537]

I'd say at least 5. There are very few obstacles that people like Yuuji can fail so I think several will clear the course no matter how hard it is, as long as it's not impossible of course.

[davidyko]

I'd say 4-6 too, partly because I personally don't WANT to see another tournament with <= 3 clears. And people like Yuuji will do well no matter what, so...

[SRW]

5 - 7 I reckon

and 2-3 will pass stage 2

[jfeathe]

I think they'll target stage 2 and 3 more so I'm thinking around 6-8 will clear.

[YoDaUO]

Sasuke 25 -
first stage - nagano, kanno, yuijji, takahashi
second stage - nagano

[Deleted]

I'd say 16.

YOU HEAR THAT. ITS GOING TO BE 16 HOW MUCH YOU WANNA BET.

[ansem120]

Jan 14, 2010 0:17:24 GMT -5 @jpjuice23 said:

I'd say 16.

YOU HEAR THAT. ITS GOING TO BE 16 HOW MUCH YOU WANNA BET.

Even though I think you're kidding, I would honestly bet my life that that doesn't happen. I say 6 people clear the First Stage at absolute most.

But I'm going to with 4 clear the 1st Stage, 2 clear the 2nd Stage, and nobody clears the 3rd Stage, but someone gets close. Something to tune of:

1st Stage Survivors: Hashimoto Koji, Nagano Makoto, and 2 newcomers. (Maybe some STQ'ers)

2nd Stage Survivors: Hashimoto Koji, and a newcomer.

Nagano fails an obstacle he has no business failing, like the Metal Spin. And the newcomer fails the new incarnation of the Salmon Ladder.

3rd Stage Survivors: None.

The newcomer fails the obstacle just before the new Cliff Hanger. And Hashimoto fails the replacement to the Spider Flip.

[VenusHeadTrap]

Time for something technically harder than 19's first stage, these athletes are not babies anymore and neither are the course designers. This does not mean I want results as bad as 19, just a display that the competitors have grown and are ready for the hardest ever.

[supersheep]

I am cool with the first tournament after the redesign only having a couple clears, but after that you should see at least 1 person go somewhat deep into the course or the ratings might start to get hurt.

[m4tt3r0x]

I just want everyone to die on the first obstacle and having the octopus guy win by default. Just my opinion.......

[yamfriend]

Feb 28, 2010 20:36:54 GMT -5 m4tt3r0x said:

I just want everyone to die on the first obstacle and having the octopus guy win by default. Just my opinion.......

That would be beautiful.

In all seriousness, however, I now think that after submitting my entry for Sasuke Guessing Game V, around 8 people might clear Stage 1. It's probably a little high, but I guess it's still possible.

[YoDaUO]

@darkpanther - Why would you want everyone to die? There is no winner or loser in Sasuke.

yamfriend - I also think 8 people will clear the first stage

[Homeslice]

I think around 3-6 people will clear. Not calling it though; I won't be like everyone else!...

[VenusHeadTrap]

7