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Post by yamfriend on Nov 23, 2009 18:16:54 GMT -5
Yeah, I know this is an unusual question to make at this point, so that's why I added choice #6.  I'm honestly expecting 11-15 Stage 1 clears considering minor/no changes to Stage 1 are made. |
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Post by scopedknife on Nov 23, 2009 18:18:43 GMT -5
I think I definitely agree with you on that one. It just seems the most realistic to me.
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Post by VenusHeadTrap on Nov 23, 2009 18:25:40 GMT -5
No more than 7, so the second option.
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Post by jfeathe on Nov 23, 2009 22:39:43 GMT -5
I said 16 plus.
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Zorn
Satō Jun
giogio
Posts: 706 
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Post by Zorn on Nov 23, 2009 23:04:26 GMT -5
I chose the last option. I'm expecting some surprises and I mean SURPRISING surprises. =P
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scnoi1217
Administrator
Retired Staff
Ummm...not sure what to say here...
Posts: 3,595
Staff Member
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Post by scnoi1217 on Nov 23, 2009 23:41:18 GMT -5
Around 11-15. With a kanzenseiha looming, M9 will want all the right people to be able to pass, so the difficulty will probably be around a 2005 tournament (14-16) relative to the competitor's skill.
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Post by intelligentinfer on Nov 24, 2009 4:06:49 GMT -5
24.
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chackpop
David Campbell
25%
Posts: 1,543
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Post by chackpop on Nov 24, 2009 6:35:45 GMT -5
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Post by intelligentinfer on Nov 24, 2009 7:06:05 GMT -5
In winter tournaments(14 and 16),14 cleared in 14 and 16 cleared in 16,so 18,20 or 24 will clear in 24.
Pattern:14+2+2=18 or 14+(2x1)+(2x2)=20 or 24.
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Post by intelligentinfer on Nov 24, 2009 7:06:56 GMT -5
In winter tournaments(14 and 16),14 cleared in 14 and 16 cleared in 16,so 18,20 or 24 will clear in 24.
Pattern:14+2+2=18 or
14+(2x1)+(2x2)=20 or
24.
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Post by scopedknife on Nov 24, 2009 8:21:48 GMT -5
That's an interesting theory... we'll see ^_^
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chackpop
David Campbell
25%
Posts: 1,543
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Post by chackpop on Nov 24, 2009 12:38:46 GMT -5
If 24 people beat Stage One.... I'll eat my sock.
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scnoi1217
Administrator
Retired Staff
Ummm...not sure what to say here...
Posts: 3,595
Staff Member
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Post by scnoi1217 on Nov 24, 2009 13:16:43 GMT -5
The thing is though, patterns NEVER work in SASUKE. If we wanted to go by patterns, then 4 people would have made the Final Stage in 16 (going by the 4s pattern) and 6 will make it there in 24 |
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Deleted
Deleted Member
Posts: 0
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Post by Deleted on Nov 25, 2009 17:57:35 GMT -5
14
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Post by rodprime79 on Nov 25, 2009 19:48:54 GMT -5
Picked the last one. It's would be kinda crazy if 24 people cleared though. It could happen...
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Post by awee1975 on Dec 7, 2009 6:50:54 GMT -5
hahahahahahahaha...LMFAO!
" HOW THE HECK WOULD I KNOW???"
i am going to be a jerk for once...LOL. XD
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Lennon
Levi Meeuwenberg
Posts: 793
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Post by Lennon on Dec 7, 2009 18:40:56 GMT -5
After some "simple" statistics from the past 6 tournaments (18-23) I have calculated that about 11-17 will pass the first stage. I ended up with 14 but you have to calculate error percentages and stuff. Though the more obstacles they changed will make that number slightly lower. This is Sasuke though, so anything can happen. |
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