Which age records will be broken in 41?

[edaan]

Sasuke 41 seems like a decent opportunity for at least some of these current records to be beaten, with both older and younger competitors who have the potential to go far in the course. Which of these records do you think will be broken in 41?

[dakohosu]

I'd say youngest Stage 1 clear and oldest Stage 2 clear are the most likely. I'm personally banking on Nakashima for the former and Yuuji for the latter. Suzuki could too but he's quite inconsistent on Stage 1 so there's a good chance the new obstacle could throw him off, as well as a Stage 2 timeout being fairly likely as well, especially if they further reduce the time limit.

Oldest Stage 1 clear is possible, realistically it would have to be Shingo beating his own record as Kane isn't competing and no one else over 48 has a real shot at doing that well. The new 1.5 seems like the exact kind of obstacle that could trip him up, and let's also not forget it took him nine straight fails to clear in 40, but at the same time given the effects of the mental therapy he went through prior to 40, he could be on the same form again. The guy just seemed like a different person last time out.

Everything else I'm going with either almost certainly not happening or at best unlikely. Nakashima I think will clear Stage 1, but I'm concerned about the back half of Stage 2, which is very power and raw strength based, which is likely to slow him down and result in a timeout. My high prediction for him was Wall Lift, though I REALLY would love for him to prove me wrong.

In terms of youngest Stages 3 and 4 clear, there's no one I can see right now doing it, though based on Nakashima's performance this time I wouldn't count him out as the guy will almost certainly resolve his strength issues that could stop him in the earlier stages, through training, and, well.... puberty, lol. And he's shown in practice that he can clear Stage 3, though then again so can competitors like Araki who in competition have struggled, so I don't know. But for 41, I very much doubt so.

Oldest Stage 3 and 4 clear similar story; unless Yuuji were to beat Stage 3 but I have a feeling it's going to be somewhat buffed and I still have my absolute max for him as Vertical Limit given that he was clearly completely spent when he made it that far in 40, and he's only getting older at this point. Other than that, no one really above the age of 34 who has a legit shot at Kanzen, especially given that Ryo, who's arguably the oldest competitor with any shot of winning currently, is 34 and even then his inconsistency and lack of experience on the current era Final give me doubts. Realistically we'll have to wait at least 3 more years until that record is broken, the main reason being is that Yusuke will be 35 in 3 years.... lol.

[therealkksworld]

I say Nakashima clears Stage 1, and for the oldest Nagano is the only possibility. I say Stage 2 oldest will be broken by Yuuji or Suzuki probably.

[dakohosu]

Dec 6, 2023 12:27:52 GMT -5 therealkksworld said:

I say Nakashima clears Stage 1, and for the oldest Nagano is the only possibility. I say Stage 2 oldest will be broken by Yuuji or Suzuki probably.

Shingo is probably more likely to beat the record than Nagano tbh, especially as he set the current record himself last time. Shingo's still got it in terms of speed and athleticism, provided he doesn't make a mental error, which hopefully the mental therapy he received prior to 40 works as well this time as it did then. The only real concern is the new 1.5, as that seems like the classic type of obstacle that would trip Shingo up, lol. Nagano I feel is more at risk of a timeout, whether it be going too slow on the course like he did in 40, or failing the wall, given that even 10 years ago, he had his fair share of struggles there.

[brz0ny]

Youngest stage 1 clear highly likely to be broken.

Youngest stage 2 clear iis possible but unlikely to be broken.

Youngest stage 3 and 4 clear impossible to be broken.

Oldest stage 1 clear is fairly possible but I wouldn't put my money on it.

Oldest stage 2 clear is very likely but there is a chance Yuuji times out.

Oldest stage 3 clear highly unlikely to be broken.

Oldest stage 4 clear unlikely but I would argue more likely than oldest stage 3 clear.

[katoshiho]

Stage 1, either Nagano's son or Black Tiger Nakashima, or both will clear. If Kaiou clear, it means that record will be keep by him.
Stage 2 I can see a shot for Nakashima if he actually cleared Back Stream with time to spare. But not sure.
for oldest, Shingo and Nagano are the only two to beat record of Stage 1. Well I'm somehow doubt about it.
Stage 2 also have two nominee, Urushihara and Suzuki. First they need to clear Stage 1, and last time they cleared Stage 2, they only have less than a second.
Stage 3 clear…… nah. If Hioki or Kawaguchi reached Stage 3 again, they will probably not clear, at least, Cliffhanger lol. Same for Urushihara, but he can clear Cliffhanger again.

[SasukeBanzukeNo1 (Moon12)]

I say the most likely of any of these is the youngest clear record being claimed by Nakashima, doing so at age 15. He's definitely grown the last time we saw him, and he was really close in just his first attempt. But even so, there's probably still a chance Kaiou could do it at 14. However, I think I'm still betting on Nakashima though since we've seen him keep up with his Black Tiger peers during training more often. Kaiou has also trained a lot with Nagano, but I'm guessing Nakashima has trained a lot more and will be more prepared to beat it. Not saying Kaiou won't beat it as well, since I can't judge how much he's trained for it, but just a prediction.

For oldest stage one clear, maybe Nagano has it in him for one more? He was pretty close the last time, even clearing the Dragon Glider. But it will have to come down to speed if he wants to clear. If not that, then there's Soritatsu Kabe which he had problems in the past. He will have to give it his all.

Oldest stage two clear could be beaten by Suzuki and/or Yuuji. But considering they both barely beat it last time by just a fraction of a second, I'm guessing it's not entirely set in stone just yet. There's also the chance they might lower the time limit given them along with Keitaro and Tomo barely cleared with less than a second. Though Suzuki and Yuuji (or even all 4 of those guys) still have what it takes to beat it, I don't see them not lowering it.

As for the rest, my predictions are that it's highly unlikely.