|
|
Post by ekkerb11 on Jun 6, 2017 16:49:42 GMT -5
Not sure if this should be in the normal thread or a separate one.
Anyway, what are everyone's predictions in terms of results in Vegas. We don't know obstacles yet, or really competitors, but here we go.
There's a pattern in Vegas for Stage 3:
ANW4: 1
ANW5: 7
ANW6: 2
ANW7: 8
ANW8: 2
ANW9: ?
I'm guessing at least 8 will make it to this point this season.
Also, sophomore years are usually pretty good for top ninjas. I would look for Stage 3 runs by Adam Rayl, Josh Levin, Michael Torres, and maybe Grant Clinton.
|
|
|
|
Post by Role Playing Garchomp on Jun 6, 2017 17:34:10 GMT -5
So who is competing? That's the first question.
|
|
|
|
Post by thatoneuser on Jun 6, 2017 20:15:39 GMT -5
So who is competing? That's the first question. Check the respective regional threads for spoilers. I think we've been intentionally stringent this year after the SASUKE controversy last year. Anyway, so we're all in agreement Drew's going to win the million, yes? |
|
|
|
Post by matt723894 on Jun 6, 2017 20:22:35 GMT -5
So who is competing? That's the first question. Check the respective regional threads for spoilers. I think we've been intentionally stringent this year after the SASUKE controversy last year. Anyway, so we're all in agreement Drew's going to win the million, yes? Unless some freak thing happens, it's a guarantee. ANW can't evolve their course fast enough to create anything he can't do, and nothing in detoynna looks to be failable for him. As season 8 proved, he can have the worst run of his life and still clear, so I'd say he has it in the bag. |
|
DonalM
Nakata Daisuke
Posts: 953 
|
Post by DonalM on Jun 6, 2017 23:03:54 GMT -5
So who is competing? That's the first question. Check the respective regional threads for spoilers. I think we've been intentionally stringent this year after the SASUKE controversy last year. Anyway, so we're all in agreement Drew's going to win the million, yes? Nah, going with Levin. |
|
|
|
Post by mesa3for4 on Jun 7, 2017 5:20:52 GMT -5
I have to go with my training partner Adam rayl.
|
|
|
|
Post by lightningmatt on Jun 7, 2017 6:22:41 GMT -5
So who is competing? That's the first question. Check the respective regional threads for spoilers. I think we've been intentionally stringent this year after the SASUKE controversy last year. Anyway, so we're all in agreement Drew's going to win the million, yes? YES! Unless he continues his pattern of failing an obstacle on the end, then the middle...in which case he fails the Final stage! |
|
|
|
Post by Steven π on Jun 7, 2017 10:43:18 GMT -5
Sorry Drew, history pointed out. His time is gonna end soon. Predict result for Drew: failing 3rd Stage, Hang Climb or Walking Bar
|
|
|
|
Post by ekkerb11 on Jun 7, 2017 11:46:48 GMT -5
Sorry Drew, history pointed out. His time is gonna end soon. Predict result for Drew: failing 3rd Stage, Hang Climb or Walking Bar I think if Drew falls, it's either Stage 1 or a new harder Stage 3 obstacle. |
|
Tico
Ōmori Akira
Posts: 328
|
Post by Tico on Jun 7, 2017 12:04:56 GMT -5
Hell, it may be someone from this board!
|
|
|
|
Post by ekkerb11 on Jun 7, 2017 16:25:08 GMT -5
I have to go with my training partner Adam rayl. Adam Rayl is next level. |
|
|
|
Post by Al Bundy on Jun 7, 2017 18:01:19 GMT -5
Last year I said Ian Dory achieves total victory and he disappointed. This time I'm predicing him again, but if he fails I'm done predicting him.
Otherwise, I think Drew will certainly be back, and some stage 2 athletes from last year could take the next step, such as Josh Levin (my ANW 10 total victory prediction) or Jake Murray. Daniel Gil won't be back on stage 3. I could see Joe Moravsky make a return, as well as The Beast McGrath if he finally makes it past the Jumping Spider. But I'm not sure what's up with his shoulder.
My dark horses (well, sort of...) to make stage 3 are Nick Coolridge, Adam Arnold and Naj Richardson. It should certainly be more than 2 like last year. I say 5 or 6.
And I think Jesse Labreck has a good chance to be the next woman to make it to stage 2. The Jumping Spider will again be decisive.
|
|
|
|
Post by hashtagswag on Jun 11, 2017 2:07:59 GMT -5
drew probably to win it all . i do however feel that rayl and coolridge have a great shot if they make stage 3 .
|
|
Season 16 Hopeful
Nomura Masaki
75%
Been watching since Season 4 and ready to compete in Season 16 and dominate
Posts: 72
|
Post by Season 16 Hopeful on Jun 11, 2017 13:10:58 GMT -5
Drew will win it all
|
|
|
|
Post by Philip on Jun 11, 2017 13:15:00 GMT -5
We'll probably see a clear amount around 20 as usual for the 1st Stage. I think we will see 5 in the 3rd though. My guesses are: Drew Drechsel, Daniel Gil, Thomas Stillings (B O L D P R E D I C T I O N S), Josh Levin, and Jake Murray.
Drew- Clear
Daniel Gil- Walking Bar
Thomas Stillings- Cliffhanger
Josh Levin- Clear
Jake Murray- Body Prop
In the final, I think both Drew and Josh will win. Josh will have the faster time however.
|
|
|
|
Post by snootchute on Jun 11, 2017 16:54:27 GMT -5
This is my first post here, so if I say something stupid, please have mercy. Anyway, if I'm taking a stab in the dark on predictions, then I would say Ian Dory, Josh Levin, and Drew will make it deep into stage 3 if not complete it. Josh is a rock climber capable of completing stage 1 and 2, so no more explanation needed there. Ian is also a climber plus he was 2 flying bars away from completing stage 3 the year Geoff and Isaac won. He was only one flying bar away from completing stage 3 in USA vs World. And isn't he supposed to be good at rope climbing? So if he had made it to stage 4, there was a decent chance there would have been 3 winners that night.
Another person mentioned Najee Richardson as a dark horse to make stage 3. I very much agree. I've thought he is capable of completing all 4 stages since last season. I think he'll need a couple tries on stage 3 before total victory, but I believe he's got what it takes. He made it to stage 2 last year, and was impressive on the all stars special. And he was a gymnast. Those guys can have amazing upper body strength for rings and such, plus they are agile.
Flip is still one to keep you're eye on. Daniel Gil and Joe Moravsky are likely to make it to stage 3, but I don't think they have they have the upper body endurance to complete it. However, if they improve in that area, the course better watch out. Nicholas Coolridge, I don't know, he has great promise, but I want to see him on stage 3 first.
I'm probably forgetting some other noteworthy names but that's generally what I'm thinking might happen. As an aside, I hope Drew thrives on pressure, because a ton of people seem to think he will win soon. I feel like every great competitor is likely to have at least one very early fall, so at least Drew got that out of his system at Miami finals a few seasons ago. Also, I'm not sure there will be a winner this year or even next year since we had 2 wins not so long ago and if you have it too often then you run the risk of total victory not seeming that hard (of course it is very hard, but image is important for these things). The only reason I can think the producers might want another winner soon is if they want to create a "star" in order to create interest. They finally seem to understand that Drew is the guy for that role, so they might not try as hard to trip everyone up this time around.
So now, if anyone has completed reading all stages of my version of War and Peace, you have earned Total Victory yourself. If there's more than one of you, then whoever read it in the fastest time gets the prize. The prize is that you don't have to hear me blather on until my next post. Congratulations! Hehe, I crack myself up...
|
|
|
|
Post by ekkerb11 on Jun 12, 2017 20:28:14 GMT -5
I drove by the course today. This is what I could make out.
Stage 1
1. Snake Run
2. Propeller Bar
3. Double Dipper (2 big dippers in a row)
4. Jumping Spider
5. Sonic Curve to Metal Spin
6. Warped Wall
7. Unknown
8. Unknown
Stage 2
1. Giant Ring Swing
2. Down Up Salmon Ladder
3. Unknown
4. Tick Tock (no trapeze)
5. Unknown
6. Unknown
Stage 3
1. Floating Boards (each board is 2 feet higher than the last)
2. Keylock Hang
+ 3. Nail Clipper
4. Ultimate Cliffhanger
5. Curved Body Prop
+ 6. Floating Books
7. Walking Bar
8. Flying Bar
|
|
|
|
Post by Role Playing Garchomp on Jun 12, 2017 23:10:43 GMT -5
I drove by the course today. This is what I could make out.
Stage 1
1. Snake Run
2. Propeller Bar
3. Double Dipper (2 big dippers in a row)
4. Jumping Spider
5. Sonic Curve to Metal Spin
6. Warped Wall
7. Unknown
8. Unknown
Stage 2
1. Giant Ring Swing
2. Down Up Salmon Ladder
3. Unknown
4. Tick Tock (no trapeze)
5. Unknown
6. Unknown
Stage 3
1. Floating Boards (each board is 2 feet higher than the last)
2. Keylock Hang
+ 3. Nail Clipper
4. Ultimate Cliffhanger
5. Curved Body Prop
+ 6. Floating Books
7. Walking Bar
8. Flying Bar
Do you have some photos? And do you know what the Final looks like? |
|
zocom7
Yamamoto Hiroshige
30%
Posts: 173
|
Post by zocom7 on Jun 13, 2017 0:07:38 GMT -5
It's too early for me to predict who else will go far the farther none other than Drew. So ekkerb11 .... Other than the new Nail Clipper and Floating Books, not sure what you mean by the Tick-Tock obstacle. |
|
Tico
Ōmori Akira
Posts: 328
|
Post by Tico on Jun 13, 2017 0:26:53 GMT -5
I drove by the course today. This is what I could make out.
Stage 1
1. Snake Run
2. Propeller Bar
3. Double Dipper (2 big dippers in a row)
4. Jumping Spider
5. Sonic Curve to Metal Spin
6. Warped Wall
7. Unknown
8. Unknown
Stage 2
1. Giant Ring Swing
2. Down Up Salmon Ladder
3. Unknown
4. Tick Tock (no trapeze)
5. Unknown
6. Unknown
Stage 3
1. Floating Boards (each board is 2 feet higher than the last)
2. Keylock Hang
+ 3. Nail Clipper
4. Ultimate Cliffhanger
5. Curved Body Prop
+ 6. Floating Books
7. Walking Bar
8. Flying Bar
They need to get rid of 2 in stage 1. #3 sounds too good to be true! Everything else I'm okay with. |
|
