Post by Captain Obvious on Mar 19, 2009 0:52:58 GMT -5
Yes, that is my guess. Have you ever seen him attempt the Metal Spin and not look nervous? After Sasuke 21, the pressure is on for him to reach the Final Stage, and I'm predicting (and hoping to be wrong) that either he'll be way too nervous to clear the Metal Spin or his heart/mind will be on his family and not Sasuke, and he'll not have the concentration he usually seems to need to clear the Metal Spin.
Also, thinking about where his more surprising falls have come, it's always been an obstacle where he's been flying through the air reaching for something (Jump Hang, Metal Spin, Jumping Bars).
It's worth repeating: I hope I'm wrong. That said, a few choices that are different from most everyone else give an opportunity to take a surprising lead in the prediction game.
While it's true that Nagano's fails come in flying obstacles, another characteristic of his performance is that he never makes the same mistake twice (except for 7 and 8, but that hardly counts). It is so much a part of his record that in Sasuke 21, 2nd stage the announcer says: "Who's the man who never makes the same mistake twice?...NAGANO!!!"
So I'm disagreeing completely with the Metal Spin thing.