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Post by yamfriend on Apr 17, 2010 17:04:34 GMT -5
What does everyone think? When will someone first reach the Final Stage? It's taken a while in the past after a Kanzenseiha tournament, but the serious competitors seem more devoted than ever, so this is a tough one to say IMO.
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chackpop
David Campbell
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Posts: 1,543
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Post by chackpop on Apr 17, 2010 17:28:56 GMT -5
Sasuke 27. I think someone will defeat the Ultimate Cliff Hanger in 26 but fail the final obstacle of the third stage. Sasuke 27 will finally have someone who can beat the whole stage.
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Post by theannoyingninja on Apr 17, 2010 17:33:44 GMT -5
I think I,m going to go with 28. All of the new obstacles are going to take awhile for someone to defeat ALL of them before the final stage.
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Post by SRW on Apr 17, 2010 19:05:23 GMT -5
28 i reckon
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Post by japantv1210 on Apr 17, 2010 19:53:58 GMT -5
I voted it would be reached in Sasuke 27. I also feel the Ultimate Cliffhanger will be defeated in 26. However, I do think the rest of the third stage obstacles will prove deceptively hard and tiring, and someone will fail before reaching the end. In 27, I figure the competitors will come more prepared than ever.
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chackpop
David Campbell
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Post by chackpop on Apr 17, 2010 20:18:22 GMT -5
With people as exhausted as they can be after finishing the UCH, hanging on to rings and rope for long periods of time will prove to be very difficult.
Similiar to Bunpei's Climbing Bars fail. Bunpei could easily pass monkey bars but his strength was destroyed by earlier tough obstacles.
And then there's that Jumping Bars/ Pipe Slider obstacle. Man, does that thing look intimidating or what?
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venomcarnage89
Morikami Daisuke
A perfect stone creates ripples, the best intentions can have consequences.
Posts: 266
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Post by venomcarnage89 on Apr 17, 2010 20:26:36 GMT -5
I voted 26, but could see whoever nails the UCH failing the final obstacle, everything after the UCH is pretty much one longggg drainer(aside from final the final green resting bar) when you don't have anything to in you to begin with. If not 26 then in 27 I think it will be beat. I think people who don't think it will get beaten in a very long time are severely underestimating the level of training many contenders will put themselves through.
This of course, is all assuming they don't change everything up all over again, everything I've posted applies to the course as it is now(unless they actually make it easier, doubtful.)
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Post by intelligentinfer on Apr 17, 2010 21:33:11 GMT -5
26: They will focus on the first two stages knowing that the new ones could survive the classics so only 2-3 will reach stage 2 and 0-1 will reach stage 3, failing at the same point of the UCH in 25. 27: Someone might clear more of the UCH and fail at the small ledge. 28: More will do what I said in 27 with 1 clearing it while being DQ'd or failing at the last ledge. 29: The UCH will finally be conquered by 1, and he will fail before reaching the green bar. 30: More will conquer the UCH with 1-2 reaching the green bar, both failing the final obstacle while someone almost clearing it. So it will be 31 according to my predictions.
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Post by YoDaUO on Apr 17, 2010 21:58:36 GMT -5
I said 27. Unless 26 is a sasuke 19 then its 27. Good question yamfriend
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supersheep
Hashimoto Kōji
Former Admin
Posts: 2,242
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Post by supersheep on Apr 17, 2010 21:59:56 GMT -5
There is no way in the world they are going to pull a Sasuke 19 and kill all the competitors in stage 1 and 2. If they did that they might as well call it a series cause there wont be a 27 or 28. They learned that was a moronic idea and is unlikely they will risk it again.
However with that said, I think they'll stay in the 10-12 clear range for stage one with 5-7 in stage 3.
I look at it this way, It took 4 tournaments for the SCH to be beat, and that had a specific technique which greatly simplifies it, and there is nothing here that is going to do that. If there is 4 tournaments with no one getting far into stage 3, there wont be 4 tournaments, Sasuke 27 will be the last, and thats my vote.
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Post by The Chief on Apr 18, 2010 0:51:44 GMT -5
Sasuke 27. I think someone will defeat the Ultimate Cliff Hanger in 26 but fail the final obstacle of the third stage. Sasuke 27 will finally have someone who can beat the whole stage. well said, chack. I agree.
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Post by Gavo on Apr 18, 2010 5:02:07 GMT -5
26: Ends getting to the small ledge 27: ends at last jump of UCH 28: Ends at last obstacle 29: Final Stage.
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Post by artyfowljr on Apr 18, 2010 7:39:16 GMT -5
IMO Sasuke 27. In 26 the UL-CLI will be defeated, but the tournament will end on one of the later obstacle. Not the final, something earlier, might even be a new obstacle.
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Post by YoDaUO on Apr 18, 2010 8:33:41 GMT -5
All of you that think it will take 2+ tournaments to defeat the cliffhanger..... Really? These guys will be practicing it daily, they will be able to do it with their eyes closed by the competition. It will be defeated in 26.
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Post by artyfowljr on Apr 18, 2010 9:56:21 GMT -5
We are actually talking about beating the whole Stage 3. IMO, clearing the UL-CLI wouldn't necessarily mean clearing reaching the final.
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Post by Badalight on Apr 18, 2010 10:34:22 GMT -5
I believe the UCH won't be beaten next tournament actually... it should be defeated in 27. And in 28 the final stage should be reached.
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Post by YoDaUO on Apr 18, 2010 15:15:59 GMT -5
The cliff hanger WILL be defeated in 26. But no final until 27.
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Post by TCM on Apr 18, 2010 18:12:04 GMT -5
26: UCH is almost beaten or just beaten by one person who fails the stage 27: At least 3 beat it, one if not all fails final obstacle 28: Final Stage reached
Considering the minds of the producers/tenacity of the competitors, it just might be sooner than later.
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Post by SRW on Apr 18, 2010 19:00:42 GMT -5
Never mind all thata heres another thought what will the final stage involve now? we had spider climb - rope climb, ladder climb - rope climb so now what??? hmmm,.,,,,,,,,,,,,
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Post by Badalight on Apr 18, 2010 19:39:51 GMT -5
The cliff hanger WILL be defeated in 26. But no final until 27. Uh huh sure. We have no idea when it'll be beaten. What if all the strong competitors fail early on? What if they get there but don't beat it? It's a tough obstacle... It's possible it'll be cleared in 26, but lets be realistic. It took what, 4 tournies for the SCH to be beaten? Considering this is even harder than that... and combines the need for technique and strength, it should logically take longer to conquer. However that'd be a bad decision on M9, so I'll give them the benefit of the doubt... but I find it pretty unrealistic that it'll be beaten in 26. Even if it is, I still say we won't see the final before 28.
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